I will do credit risk modelling pd with ifrs 9 provisioning
About this Gig
I will build robust IFRS 9 credit risk models, including PD (Probability of Default) modelling and ECL (Expected Credit Loss) provisioning, tailored to your portfolio.
Whether you're a bank, NBFI, fintech, or auditor needing a defensible, regulation-compliant credit risk model, I deliver end-to-end modelling from data preparation to final validated outputs.
What's included in this offering:
PD Modelling
- Logistic regression / scorecard-based PD models
- Through-the-cycle (TTC) and Point-in-Time (PIT) PD estimation
- Segmentation by product, geography, or risk grade
IFRS 9 Staging & SICR
- Stage 1 / Stage 2 / Stage 3 classification
- Significant Increase in Credit Risk (SICR) trigger logic
- 12-month vs lifetime ECL determination
ECL / Provisioning Calculation
- PD × LGD × EAD framework
- Forward-looking macroeconomic overlays
- Multiple scenario weighting (base, upside, downside)
Model Validation & Evaluation
- Discriminatory power testing (Gini, KS, AUC)
- Backtesting and calibration checks
- Sensitivity and stress testing (higher tiers)
Visualization of Results
- Excel/PowerBI/Python-based visual outputs (based on your preference)
Documentation & Reporting
- Methodology write-up suitable for auditors.
My Portfolio
FAQ
Do you sign NDAs?
Yes, I'm happy to sign an NDA before receiving any data or sensitive portfolio information
Can you work with my existing data?
Yes — send your loan-level or portfolio data (Excel, CSV, or SQL export) and I'll adapt the model to fit its structure and fields.
Is this model IFRS 9 audit-compliant?
The model follows IFRS 9 methodology and industry-standard validation practices (Gini, KS, AUC, backtesting), making it suitable for internal audit and regulator review. Final sign-off compliance depends on your auditor's specific requirements.
Can you customize the model for Basel II/III as well?
Yes, PD/LGD/EAD components can be adapted for Basel capital requirement calculations as an add-on — just message me before ordering.

